Southern Miss vs. Louisiana

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40dae1bc8b513e3de1cfa749516768996334f87279ef4617fc5f248aab8158c2

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Southern Missof Southern Miss, Louisiana
Resolved: Oct 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $388,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $390,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Louisiana	39c	372,618$144,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144,121.22	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Southern Miss	61c	48,448$29,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,694.54	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Southern Miss	61c	48,407$29,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,784.96	859	47.7%410 W · 449 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Southern Miss	62c	46,666$28,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,733.08	155	39.4%61 W · 94 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Southern Miss	61c	32,455$19,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,657.42	377	49.6%187 W · 190 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Southern Miss	62c	32,278$19,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,423.4	309	49.5%153 W · 156 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Southern Miss	61c	24,278$14,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,389.84	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Southern Miss	62c	21,000$13,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,980.02	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Southern Miss	61c	19,323$11,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,535.78	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Southern Miss	61c	18,000$10,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,020	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Southern Miss	61c	16,000$9,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,240	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Southern Miss	61c	13,145$8,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,126.68	261	47.9%125 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss	61c	11,740$7,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,579.3	2,013	49.6%999 W · 1,014 L	+24.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Southern Miss	61c	8,713$5,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,398.07	147	43.5%64 W · 83 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Southern Miss	62c	5,995$3,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,248.29	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Southern Miss	61c	5,400$3,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Southern Miss	61c	4,426$2,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.27	492	53.5%263 W · 229 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Southern Miss	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Southern Miss	75c	2,543$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.25	862	43.7%377 W · 485 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Southern Miss	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss	62c	1,777$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.04	402	44.8%180 W · 222 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Southern Miss	61c	1,710$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Louisiana	39c	1,710$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6540…d055backed Southern Miss	62c	1,668$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked Louisiana	38c	1,666$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss	65c	1,507$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.92	553	50.3%278 W · 275 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Southern Miss	61c	1,500$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Southern Miss	64c	1,488$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.28	684	40.8%279 W · 405 L	-10.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Miss	61c	1,200$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468	485	46.8%227 W · 258 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Southern Miss	61c	1,148$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.54	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Southern Miss	61c	970$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.55	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Southern Miss	61c	780$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.2	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Southern Miss	61c	650$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.5	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0c…0a49backed Louisiana	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Southern Miss	63c	489$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.26	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Southern Miss	62c	384.87$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	160	44.4%71 W · 89 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Southern Miss	61c	360.1$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Southern Miss	62c	290$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	204	50.5%103 W · 101 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Southern Miss	62c	257.39$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Louisiana	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Louisiana	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	280	32.9%92 W · 188 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd948…b595backed Southern Miss	61c	196.1$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Louisiana	38c	166.38$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.22	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Louisiana	37c	128.15$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2968…e0c4backed Louisiana	39c	126.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Southern Miss	61c	122.95$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.95	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Southern Miss	61c	114.83$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.22	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Southern Miss	62c	112.2$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a3…88d3backed Southern Miss	61c	108.85$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…6261backed Louisiana	40c	108.75$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Southern Miss	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	473	31.5%149 W · 324 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Louisiana	40c	97.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ac…4bdabacked Southern Miss	63c	93.98$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.13	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Southern Miss	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Southern Miss	61c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Southern Miss	68c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Louisiana	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	241	57.3%138 W · 103 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ec…9282backed Louisiana	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Southern Miss	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,090	41.7%455 W · 635 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Louisiana	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8f…fab4backed Southern Miss	63c	32.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d6…7cc2backed Southern Miss	61c	32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Southern Miss	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	188	68.1%128 W · 60 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ff…9bd1backed Southern Miss	62c	21.65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.23	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Southern Miss vs. Louisianathis page
Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)Southern Miss won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Southern Miss vs. Louisiana

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event