Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e1ada155d287f151e97c2cdb87a27e4b7f532a5a55423d3c13b95c23beadb4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $401,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $237,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	37,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	1c	12,545$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	10,378$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.98	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	3c	9,898$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	9,198$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.05	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	9,048$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.94	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	4c	8,734$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.67	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	8,160$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.91	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	2c	7,900$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	6,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	5,800$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	3,499$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.39	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	3,469$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	74c	3,380$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.72	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	17c	3,300$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.33	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	1c	3,177$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	31c	3,127$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.74	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	74c	2,775$2,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.6	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes	28c	2,742$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.19	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	2,500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	24c	2,358$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	21c	2,345$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.39	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	2,296$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.93	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	23c	2,278$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.12	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	35c	2,222$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.69	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	10c	2,183$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.6	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	32c	2,156$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.37	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	18c	2,133$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.95	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	2,048$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.33	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,030$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d88…1d65backed Yes	18c	2,015$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.04	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	20c	1,899$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.27	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	23c	1,700$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.66	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	32c	1,624$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.75	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	39c	1,590$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.96	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	1,576$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.83	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	1,500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.71	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	19c	1,480$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	18c	1,453$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.34	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	68c	1,323$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.22	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	1c	1,267$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	27c	1,256$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.87	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,211$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	19c	1,210$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.3	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4863…b1d9backed Yes	38c	1,101$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	30c	1,055$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.44	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	19c	999.98$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	25c	999.78$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.88	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	2c	941$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	24c	920$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.68	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	899.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	899.81$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.52	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e90…4858backed Yes	20c	886.74$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	21c	825.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.11	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	26c	800$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbac…1a1cbacked Yes	3c	783.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	35c	779.53$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	20c	764.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes	39c	700$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	71c	700$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.6	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	79c	699.96$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.81	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	21c	689.48$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	20c	677.07$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	38c	647.48$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.38	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	15c	646.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	9c	643.5$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.3	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	35c	633.26$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.71	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…1ff8backed Yes	16c	622.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	6c	599.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	21c	578.44$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.7	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	4c	573.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	565.15$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.93	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	15c	565$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.62	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	35c	550$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	28c	544.15$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.86	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	21c	532.51$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.06	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	70c	508.86$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.56	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	4c	505.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	39c	499.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	9c	496.43$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	21c	486.45$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes	24c	485.93$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.28	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	20c	474.17$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.22	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	34c	465.77$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	21c	463.73$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.2	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	457.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	26c	452.91$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	16c	450$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	17c	449.96$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.13	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	19c	443.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.52	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	30c	443.87$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.01	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	36c	437.98$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.32	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	22c	435.41$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.23	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	16c	430.15$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.45	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…ccf3backed Yes	40c	415.83$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event