Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644a59414b624879050b0540a64095f78023875a903000667b8d76bfdef322f7

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $355,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $219,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	19,175$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	10,719$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.93	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	10,500$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	7,740$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.82	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,496$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.69	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	7,057$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.53	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	6,569$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.06	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	5,980$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.57	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,950$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,555$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,402$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	5,000$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes	6c	4,613$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	3,923$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.61	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	3,729$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.22	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	18c	3,307$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.46	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	75c	3,105$2,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.36	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	9c	3,002$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.16	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	2,427$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.84	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf042…3a87backed Yes	7c	2,377$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.18	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	19c	2,305$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.91	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	15c	2,146$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.72	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	22c	2,096$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.58	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	1,960$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	1,952$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.23	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	1,943$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	21c	1,790$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.77	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	1,700$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.98	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	7c	1,558$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	117	4.3%5 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	26c	1,500$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.22	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	1,498$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	19c	1,454$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.1	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	1,359$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.26	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	16c	1,357$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.58	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	26c	1,218$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.19	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	3c	1,198$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	26c	1,187$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.84	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	2c	1,103$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	2c	1,025$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	216	6%13 W · 203 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952b…c92fbacked No	74c	1,017$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.34	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	5c	1,003$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	26c	999.86$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.71	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	28c	992.37$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	6c	991.83$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	1c	975$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	13c	962.04$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.59	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	20c	957.78$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.15	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	11c	925.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	840$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fa…1faebacked No	75c	810.27$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.59	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	799.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	3c	787.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	18c	773.58$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.64	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	8c	749.54$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.03	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	11c	728.81$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.79	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	7c	721.53$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.07	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	10c	699.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	20c	699.5$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.53	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…1ff8backed Yes	14c	697.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	28c	660.27$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.91	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	18c	619.82$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.17	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cc…c4fdbacked Yes	16c	613.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	39cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	611.48$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.3	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	17c	609.27$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.99	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes	18c	589.58$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	565$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ca…dd9ebacked Yes	26c	560.04$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.3	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	25c	550$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.7	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	549.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	17c	549.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	16c	545.19$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.22	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	524.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.27	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	10c	509.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	26c	502.54$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.55	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	24c	500$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.5	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	8c	492.37$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	8c	450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	12c	431.7$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.24	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	26c	429.4$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	26c	419.94$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.86	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	19c	410.92$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.98	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…3741backed Yes	24c	409.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes	26c	402.96$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.23	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	24c	399.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.3	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	10c	391.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	384$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	21c	380.95$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddae…52c4backed Yes	10c	367.2$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.66	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…3684backed Yes	20c	353.78$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.16	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	13c	350.31$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	281	11%31 W · 250 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	22c	349.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	74c	327.74$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.04	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	23c	320$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	16c	319.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	8c	317.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked Yes	23c	302.45$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event