NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9beddbc9f171dce517f3076d5bf8808bede78e787ef1c644baf061380638cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,333,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,541,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,333,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Warriors | 53c | 1,326,767$696,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629,799.51 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,027,885$483,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483,010.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Nuggets | 49c | 636,340$310,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310,969.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 52c | 418,509$218,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,337.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 52c | 220,637$114,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,078.3 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 51c | 207,339$105,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,424.41 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 47c | 163,000$77,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,039.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Warriors | 51c | 159,523$81,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,586.12 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Warriors | 62c | 113,185$70,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,107.65 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Nuggets | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 46c | 100,000$46,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,199.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nuggets | 63c | 70,369$44,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,537.03 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Nuggets | 46c | 64,893$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Warriors | 50c | 60,000$29,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,200 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Nuggets | 48c | 52,000$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,960 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Nuggets | 49c | 42,471$20,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,635.7 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 50c | 40,665$20,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,338.41 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Warriors | 53c | 37,181$19,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,475.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nuggets | 47c | 34,828$16,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,274.64 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 30,884$14,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,601.79 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.95 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc659…e925backed Nuggets | 47c | 28,500$13,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,395 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 32c | 27,035$8,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,336.51 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 53c | 26,398$13,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,405.22 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 54c | 24,240$13,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.9 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Warriors | 35c | 24,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nuggets | 70c | 22,379$15,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,605.51 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Warriors | 65c | 21,773$14,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 72c | 21,271$15,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,248.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Nuggets | 50c | 20,042$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 51c | 20,000$10,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,224.61 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Nuggets | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.98 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Warriors | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.97 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Nuggets | 70c | 19,545$13,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,623.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Warriors | 53c | 19,000$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,929.83 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 53c | 18,667$9,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.24 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 49c | 16,646$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,430.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors | 54c | 16,087$8,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.05 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Nuggets | 48c | 15,316$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.77 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Warriors | 33c | 15,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Warriors | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Warriors | 31c | 14,516$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,016.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Warriors | 54c | 14,295$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580.6 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Nuggets | 61c | 13,857$8,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,440.93 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Nuggets | 47c | 13,192$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.01 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 32c | 13,110$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,971.1 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Warriors | 34c | 12,700$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.24 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 58c | 11,758$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Warriors | 30c | 11,360$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.38 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…a912backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,074$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…8a9abacked Warriors | 54c | 10,700$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,338$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.04 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…e942backed Warriors | 54c | 10,300$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 57c | 10,126$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.6 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cd…66d6backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,070$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 66c | 9,923$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.13 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…41d3backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,676$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Warriors | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…70c4backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,555$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.92 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…6ebfbacked Nuggets | 74c | 8,428$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…edb6backed Warriors | 54c | 8,400$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 54c | 7,745$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.85 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 7,513$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.96 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Warriors | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,462$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 64c | 7,019$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Warriors | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Warriors | 52c | 6,871$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 6,800$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 39c | 6,682$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.74 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 52c | 6,330$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.19 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nuggets | 74c | 6,005$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.59 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 61c | 5,977$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.88 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,733$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Warriors | 54c | 5,281$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.55 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 35c | 5,145$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.23 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Warriors | 48c | 5,101$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.52 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 31c | 5,043$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.42 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,004$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.02 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Warriors | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Warriors | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,882$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.3 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,798$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.03 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,650$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.82 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 28c | 4,620$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 49c | 4,600$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 4,591$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 48c | 4,221$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.44 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,170$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…0979backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Warriorsthis page
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.