NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9f91b099da97bae732064915ecf49d43a4fbb33ce1e97ac2b2e3390bc1e379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Warriors | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 22,014$10,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,786.64 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Nuggets | 49c | 21,000$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,290 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Warriors | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…7538backed Warriors | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9ea5backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,843$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…3bedbacked Warriors | 51c | 8,514$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Nuggets | 49c | 8,378$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…ce03backed Warriors | 51c | 8,223$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…79c4backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,517$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3954backed Warriors | 51c | 7,410$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…d30bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 7,084$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…e118backed Warriors | 51c | 6,963$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…6e8dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,564$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…a52bbacked Warriors | 51c | 6,344$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,337$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…b6ffbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,164$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…6927backed Warriors | 51c | 5,928$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…f481backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,866$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…a493backed Warriors | 51c | 5,812$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,783$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…a201backed Warriors | 51c | 5,525$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…3141backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,480$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c419backed Warriors | 51c | 5,115$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Warriors | 51c | 4,920$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e599backed Warriors | 51c | 4,916$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…4b2cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,889$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…fa41backed Warriors | 51c | 4,889$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…3f90backed Warriors | 51c | 4,772$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…517ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,763$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…2e85backed Warriors | 51c | 4,649$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…a4bdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,593$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…f37ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,465$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…8b09backed Warriors | 51c | 4,370$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…318cbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,277$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…7626backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,227$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…1fa6backed Warriors | 51c | 4,156$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…80b7backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,049$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…4e09backed Warriors | 51c | 4,029$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…5adbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,997$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…61f6backed Warriors | 51c | 3,954$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,873$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…e8f3backed Warriors | 51c | 3,814$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…be3bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,787$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…0591backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,766$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Warriors | 51c | 3,760$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…2bccbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,748$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…70f5backed Warriors | 51c | 3,655$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…9868backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,646$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…a385backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,631$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…ee79backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,627$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…6e56backed Warriors | 51c | 3,589$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…a272backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,532$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…d5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,491$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…e11dbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,448$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…c869backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,402$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…c278backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,397$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…72e9backed Warriors | 51c | 3,268$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…ea2fbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,202$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…e40fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,194$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…e50fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,183$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…92afbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,171$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…1e67backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,128$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…92b3backed Warriors | 51c | 3,110$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…e4d1backed Warriors | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Warriors | 50c | 3,064$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.97 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…a99ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,976$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…63adbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,952$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…d2bbbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,916$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…5a80backed Warriors | 51c | 2,915$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…574ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,909$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3aa…5044backed Warriors | 51c | 2,894$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…a61ebacked Warriors | 51c | 2,851$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…82c9backed Warriors | 51c | 2,816$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…1550backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,791$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…8efbbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,788$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…2a64backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,776$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…2f28backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,768$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x173b…baf5backed Warriors | 51c | 2,732$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…426abacked Warriors | 51c | 2,718$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…ef9abacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,712$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…af73backed Warriors | 51c | 2,706$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…1409backed Warriors | 51c | 2,691$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,636$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…80c8backed Warriors | 51c | 2,620$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3ff1backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,575$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…d507backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,538$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,503$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…6501backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,475$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…a0a3backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,426$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…5b28backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,244$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…c988backed Warriors | 51c | 2,243$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…bb29backed Warriors | 51c | 2,240$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…ecacbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,154$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0b72backed Warriors | 51c | 2,111$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…94ecbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,063$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…a296backed Warriors | 51c | 1,981$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.