MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39ff0cc2ab333b6cdf548b3e946369c36158ec136f3fec1e61fa1b14694b3d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $853,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 146,441$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 106,805$44,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,775.66 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,999.75 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 33,485$20,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,045.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 30,232$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 28,453$17,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,443.46 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 27,392$16,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,161.55 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 16,724$7,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 14,919$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 11,829$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.74 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 9,654$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.87 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 8,924$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kansas City Royals | 16c | 8,454$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.54 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 8,135$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.17 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,556$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.31 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 5,553$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 5,346$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 5,143$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 5,012$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 4,705$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.17 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 4,479$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.62 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 4,202$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.56 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 4,120$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 4,076$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 4,070$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.48 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 3,848$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 3,824$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.73 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,757$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.56 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 3,446$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 3,394$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.72 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 3,354$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.81 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 3,104$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.7 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,996$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,619$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.89 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,521$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.78 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,484$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.47 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 2,380$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.4 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,313$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.66 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 2,156$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 2,152$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 1,931$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.23 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,882$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.47 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 1,857$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,857$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.38 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,678$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.81 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,569$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…35d9backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,458$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,449$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,416$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.07 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,354$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,343$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,299$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,269$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,058$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,018$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 950$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 897.81$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 889.53$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 879.7$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 866.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.03 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 850.21$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.61 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 834.28$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 807.58$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals | 16c | 756.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 749.11$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 742.32$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 732.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.62 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 722.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 708.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.15 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 703.57$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 664.92$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 656.85$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 593.23$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.01 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 587.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 581$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 570.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 559.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 555.51$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 546.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 518.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 508.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 499.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 491.45$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 490.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 490.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.74 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 484.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 479.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 475.48$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.