MLB · resolved market
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc076ec0cd8c364ee1309ef525856aac86ea1dc9f77d5c68704d815adec101038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,624$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.02 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 5,568$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.38 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,380$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,374$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 2,214$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,163$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.49 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,720$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 1,646$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,423$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.12 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 1,249$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,139$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,018$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.57 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 904.49$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 842.07$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 682.36$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 598.82$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 537.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 458.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 447.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 428.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 306.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 205.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 157.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 106.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 105.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Kansas City Royals | 11c | 104.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 103.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 103.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 102.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 98.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 83.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 81.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 66.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 65.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 64.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 63.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 56.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 49.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d0debacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 43.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 42.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 38.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 38.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…f772backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 21.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.