MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6afb064d2503598d007c8397aa5f1df5637c07bb5ff9c6a114a71625046011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 58c | 67,637$38,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,743.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 64,851$27,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,661.66 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Under | 51c | 30,016$15,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,707.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 25,191$12,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,135.5 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 49c | 23,355$11,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,424.23 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 13,361$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,511.41 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Under | 52c | 12,740$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Over | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 54c | 7,303$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 5,178$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.57 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 4,955$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.16 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 4,138$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 66c | 3,416$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 3,233$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 52c | 2,428$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.44 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,089$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.2 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 2,002$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 1,907$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.91 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Over | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 1,576$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.7 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,407$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 51c | 1,359$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.83 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 1,209$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,168$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Over | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 49c | 979.09$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 947.43$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.58 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 889.1$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.66 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 746.11$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.23 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 660.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 653.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 49c | 611.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 40c | 609.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 581.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Under | 56c | 524.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 492.15$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 490.42$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 54c | 462.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 398$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Under | 51c | 397.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 49c | 321.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 54c | 259.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 46c | 247.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 226.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 189.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 50c | 183.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 181.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 51c | 180.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 48c | 154.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 49c | 138.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 137.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 47c | 131.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Under | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 121.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 49c | 108.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 105.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 102.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Over | 48c | 100.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 73c | 99.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…d704backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Under | 50c | 92.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 92.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Over | 49c | 84.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 76.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 47c | 73.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.