TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes28c75,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No68c58,337$39,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,489.369159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c50,599$36,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,431.4762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes33c21,276$7,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,254.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c20,000$14,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,084.986454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c19,009$8,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,904.271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c17,281$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,821.0652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes33c15,220$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,270.53633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c14,193$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,773.211,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c10,121$7,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,286.7713348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No68c9,999$6,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No68c9,763$6,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,653.51485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes32c9,375$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,375333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No68c8,824$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c6,720$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c6,498$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.95368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c6,400$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.1287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3506553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Yes28c4,200$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c4,016$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.341,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c3,669$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.0224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No26c2,859$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.232630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No71c2,395$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.76060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c2,241$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c1,944$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes33c1,712$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.493447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c1,700$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.6629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes28c1,659$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.443756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes30c1,631$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.72729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.35255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0056141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,364$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.1433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.341776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c1,321$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c1,221$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.4228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Yes32c1,220$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed No66c1,202$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes30c1,159$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.123336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26024052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked No25c940.56$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+586.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.093619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No20c865$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c820.08$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5686756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c799.98$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9923260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Yes29c746.56$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+70.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c699.99$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4838444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes33c521.64$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.55046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked No68c510.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No72c499.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked No18c499.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes30c447.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c426$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c420$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c420$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed No70c410.04$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+120.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No16c400$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes33c387.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.889447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No57c380.27$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed No70c374.24$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No12c353.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No68c349.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9611250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No70c330$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c330$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23111556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes29c318.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c310.07$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No72c300.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c300.01$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20914045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21310948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed No69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No68c283.08$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.693259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No70c280$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed No23c272.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes80c256.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No68c220$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.63070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.754546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes32c207.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes29c205.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.23450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c190$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes32c189.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.958942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No70c180$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked No20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…bcaebacked No69c174.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No69c172.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.693672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No70c170$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1198355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.