TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked No73c17,780$12,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,878.446454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c10,239$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c3,334$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8105060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8106060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,559$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes11c1,499$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.891030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c1,159$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.863336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c1,080$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes28c971.45$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0114346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c799.99$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c789.17$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes27c766.19$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.872347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c648.95$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No70c570$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes27c550.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.664940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes13c503.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c499.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes29c467.72$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.646446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c446$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c420$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.417756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c420$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.413655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No73c420$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.47163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes29c375.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c373.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c332.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.591,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No73c330$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No73c330$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.111556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c324.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes28c300.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c295$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c1…a5adbacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes27c276.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes29c201.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.451384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.38653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c176$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.910653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.99355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c169.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes32c146.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes26c140.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4612839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes25c128.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.214751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes27c118.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.99846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ed…d157backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+167%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes28c92.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes27c92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No72c83.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d1…525dbacked Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.614337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes28c71.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.910652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d78…7defbacked No73c67.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c65.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes28c63.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.743745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7825…89a0backed Yes28c60.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No72c60.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.