NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4df9579e1f2af5f138af069a3cd4d5370ced129ea34abb4255d37cf14ff0f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Knicks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,523,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,703,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,523,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Bulls | 37c | 172,119$64,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,593.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bulls | 37c | 149,070$54,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,638.56 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks | 41c | 140,000$57,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks | 64c | 71,295$45,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,628.92 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Knicks | 47c | 69,021$32,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,671.44 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks | 0c | 62,789$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bulls | 77c | 53,821$41,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,177.15 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Knicks | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.99 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Knicks | 29c | 48,759$14,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,244.06 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 47c | 35,695$16,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,783.43 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Knicks | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Bulls | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 28c | 21,272$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.92 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Knicks | 51c | 20,251$10,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,276.45 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bulls | 79c | 20,060$15,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.56 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls | 51c | 19,500$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,467.91 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 62c | 18,873$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,771.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 63c | 15,531$9,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,784.49 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Knicks | 18c | 14,709$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.57 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks | 63c | 13,414$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,460.05 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bulls | 37c | 12,638$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,918.35 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Bulls | 78c | 11,352$8,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.96 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Knicks | 30c | 9,950$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 35c | 9,522$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.24 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Knicks | 63c | 9,500$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.97 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bulls | 37c | 9,304$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.42 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Knicks | 11c | 9,050$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Knicks | 3c | 8,700$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 70c | 8,378$5,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 37c | 8,069$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.23 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls | 38c | 7,997$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.94 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 62c | 7,994$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Knicks | 1c | 6,803$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe989…ed95backed Bulls | 77c | 6,473$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Knicks | 63c | 6,254$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.72 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 62c | 5,766$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Bulls | 54c | 5,602$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Knicks | 65c | 5,462$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bulls | 37c | 5,430$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Knicks | 64c | 5,105$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.53 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks | 64c | 5,102$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.3 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 33c | 5,000$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.1 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls | 35c | 4,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.94 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 63c | 4,459$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.67 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Knicks | 31c | 4,297$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.11 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks | 61c | 4,288$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.67 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Knicks | 36c | 4,281$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.31 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Knicks | 62c | 4,250$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.49 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Knicks | 29c | 4,138$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.27 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bulls | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 64c | 3,606$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Knicks | 63c | 3,157$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 32c | 3,102$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 70c | 3,034$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Bulls | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Bulls | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 36c | 2,936$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.87 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Bulls | 75c | 2,743$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Bulls | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Bulls | 66c | 2,653$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.04 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Knicks | 26c | 2,575$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…f783backed Bulls | 67c | 2,462$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Knicks | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Bulls | 66c | 2,360$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Bulls | 68c | 2,294$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Bulls | 59c | 2,236$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Knicks | 34c | 2,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.03 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bulls | 36c | 2,000$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.47 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Knicks | 62c | 1,959$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Knicks | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 31c | 1,680$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Bulls | 74c | 1,668$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.01 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Knicks | 34c | 1,639$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Knicks | 32c | 1,626$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Knicks | 64c | 1,600$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…d4d9backed Knicks | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…0526backed Bulls | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +281.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Knicks | 33c | 1,526$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Knicks | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Knicks | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Knicks | 63c | 1,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.96 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 37c | 1,487$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.97 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Knicks | 4c | 1,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bulls | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Knicks | 63c | 1,372$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.09 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Bulls | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 1c | 1,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bulls | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Knicks | 67c | 1,211$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.92 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Bulls | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.38 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.