Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c71969b273c9b29c5fe6083dcc8af61f24d24089df6e513b773918ec67c3d69

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $740,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $786,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,567 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed No	14c	84,769$11,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,610.44	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	1c	45,944$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.39	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	2c	16,035$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.25	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	40c	13,960$5,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,332.14	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	45c	13,333$6,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,308.13	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed No	3c	12,854$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.33	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	53c	5,740$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,689.69	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	64c	5,620$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600.19	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	69c	5,514$3,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,724.52	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	49c	5,294$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.88	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	49c	5,219$2,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,674.9	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	59c	4,966$2,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,055.27	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	61c	4,919$3,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,017.4	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	32c	4,771$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.64	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb06…ca56backed No	0c	4,760$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	70c	4,757$3,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,446.01	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	31c	4,562$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,159.64	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	17c	4,489$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.49	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	71c	4,452$3,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	57c	4,248$2,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809.48	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	31c	4,213$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,917.83	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	19c	4,049$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.97	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	24c	3,703$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.7	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	70c	3,664$2,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,561.61	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	78c	3,511$2,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.21	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	79c	3,500$2,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.23	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	12c	3,467$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.03	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	79c	3,457$2,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,728.24	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	36c	3,196$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,060.59	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	35c	3,117$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,014.71	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	29c	3,068$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.71	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	36c	2,989$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.45	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	42c	2,765$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,606.83	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	48c	2,652$1,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.18	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	10c	2,630$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.3	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	55c	2,630$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.78	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No	18c	2,587$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.55	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	34c	2,579$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692.55	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	26c	2,511$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.14	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	45c	2,399$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.38	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	32c	2,302$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.31	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	16c	2,294$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.75	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	22c	2,192$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.64	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	76c	2,167$1,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.59	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	20c	2,076$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.48	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53b7…45e5backed No	72c	2,035$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed Yes	55c	2,014$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.09	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	28c	2,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	51c	1,989$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.92	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	24c	1,986$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.98	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	1,926$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.86	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	53c	1,869$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.45	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	65c	1,825$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.93	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	71c	1,818$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.42	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked No	40c	1,723$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.2	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	58c	1,714$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	73c	1,710$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.82	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	36c	1,654$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.98	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	41c	1,565$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.28	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	40c	1,562$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.34	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	40c	1,508$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.46	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	59c	1,503$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.76	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	76c	1,503$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.76	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75de…98c0backed Yes	68c	1,470$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.67	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed Yes	56c	1,449$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.18	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed No	13c	1,408$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.55	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	67c	1,400$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.38	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	35c	1,389$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.95	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	35c	1,385$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.27	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	35c	1,366$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.37	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed Yes	71c	1,330$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.54	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986d…b351backed Yes	68c	1,314$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.55	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bb…85a8backed Yes	74c	1,300$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8949…5e21backed No	51c	1,299$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.38	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	32c	1,256$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.73	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	33c	1,251$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.69	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	35c	1,243$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.34	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	60c	1,216$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.74	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	58c	1,210$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.05	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	73c	1,192$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.66	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	32c	1,180$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.01	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No	10c	1,145$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.1	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	68c	1,100$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.91	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,092$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.6	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	23c	1,056$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.12	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	1,043$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.71	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	56c	1,012$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.81	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	29c	1,009$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.77	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	47c	1,005$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.78	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	28c	1,001$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.22	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017e…be52backed Yes	18c	1,000$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.24	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	72c	999.99$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.09	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7243…8409backed Yes	19c	999.81$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.1	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	25c	992.17$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.67	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	36c	982.68$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.32	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	23c	976.34$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.66	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	54c	970.72$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.94	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	31c	961$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.88	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	30c	950.04$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.72	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event