Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf341219b10013698804ee4baf4872bd346d74d269632360d8ec2320e299270f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $552,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $369,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	0c	53,262$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	1c	22,222$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.22	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	10,938$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.8	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	8,048$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.79	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	7,812$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	7,745$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.58	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	5c	7,369$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.41	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	6,774$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.86	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	6,490$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.29	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	5,700$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.39	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	3c	5,370$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,051$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.28	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	5,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	4,642$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4648…0953backed Yes	1c	4,525$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	1c	4,341$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	2c	4,187$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.09	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	4,080$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	3,798$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	3,583$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.99	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	2c	3,578$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.03	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	8c	3,399$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.92	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	12c	3,383$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.59	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	1c	3,333$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	3,223$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	3,197$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.13	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	2c	3,100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.19	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	3,000$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.06	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	3c	2,940$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	1c	2,772$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	2,732$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	0c	2,732$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	1c	2,600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	2,585$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	3c	2,568$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.8	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	2,450$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.47	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,359$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3183…c5ebbacked Yes	2c	2,210$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,135$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	2,122$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.59	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	6c	2,063$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.69	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	2c	2,049$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.94	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	2,027$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	7c	1,964$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.43	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	2c	1,920$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.12	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	7c	1,846$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	1c	1,831$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	6c	1,656$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.58	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,638$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7aa6backed Yes	1c	1,593$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	1,572$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.61	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,568$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	1,516$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	1c	1,500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	1,500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	1,491$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.44	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	11c	1,446$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.49	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	14c	1,439$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	1,427$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.22	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbadf…b7f9backed Yes	4c	1,404$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	4c	1,331$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.91	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	7c	1,312$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.66	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f7…00f0backed Yes	2c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	11c	1,119$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	1c	1,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	1,092$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	1,056$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	1,052$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	8c	1,051$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.79	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	2c	1,044$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	2c	1,044$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1c4…fcb2backed Yes	1c	1,015$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	13c	1,009$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.48	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	2c	1,009$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	2c	1,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6e…7f49backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	935.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	8c	923.31$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.83	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes	2c	903.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	5c	900.97$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	2c	900.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	6c	897.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	830$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x855e…de25backed Yes	1c	827.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	5c	820.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	12c	793.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.13	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	786.29$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	750$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	708.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	10c	700.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Yes	2c	671.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	3c	659.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	642.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	10c	641.46$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.55	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8641…e3acbacked Yes	7c	625$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event