Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6baa96a2e7f0a46e00b8449b40f13b9c199b41eaa713e31d0b4c82b68d238331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 61c | 122,330$74,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,316.88 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 39c | 63,776$24,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,996.97 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 40c | 31,855$12,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,741.93 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 30,414$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 36c | 24,293$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,590.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed No | 60c | 23,068$13,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,227.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…e362backed Yes | 40c | 18,115$7,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 61c | 15,903$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.15 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 39c | 12,578$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.22 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 56c | 10,275$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.08 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 39c | 7,700$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 52c | 7,581$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.18 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 7,549$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.47 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 40c | 7,427$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 52c | 7,079$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 61c | 6,533$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.42 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 39c | 6,472$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.21 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 40c | 5,628$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.09 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 39c | 5,331$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 36c | 5,302$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.57 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,132$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 4,925$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.48 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 65c | 4,652$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.75 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…0c3bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,074$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc300…9227backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked No | 61c | 4,000$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,843$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.6 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,477$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 3,269$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 60c | 3,152$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Yes | 67c | 3,112$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 46c | 3,099$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 36c | 3,000$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.88 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,988$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 39c | 2,682$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.85 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 2,558$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.57 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 40c | 2,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 2,478$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.27 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 66c | 2,465$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.22 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,377$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 65c | 2,191$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 2,150$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.04 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 40c | 2,011$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.37 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,766$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 49c | 1,648$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.71 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 1,582$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed No | 64c | 1,556$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 39c | 1,512$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 66c | 1,471$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.86 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 39c | 1,423$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 40c | 1,350$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 39c | 1,329$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,259$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 63c | 1,199$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 1,191$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 39c | 1,189$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 39c | 1,177$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 51c | 1,050$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Yes | 40c | 1,004$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 40c | 997.68$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 40c | 899.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 40c | 887.45$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 40c | 877.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 38c | 789.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 35c | 773.21$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 34c | 750.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 38c | 666.65$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 652.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 45c | 649.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…87f3backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 38c | 578.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 31c | 570.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 38c | 554.26$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked No | 25c | 549.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked No | 61c | 547.63$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 64c | 544$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 40c | 502.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.