TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c22,699$6,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,929.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed No72c22,500$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No33c12,020$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes39c7,661$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes28c7,577$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,458.8720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c6,540$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.741,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No43c6,406$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.1729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed No72c4,998$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6161070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed No72c4,183$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No72c3,937$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.269763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes76c3,672$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.213046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes25c3,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62510737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No27c3,041$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.3267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No76c2,697$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.5135758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No75c2,654$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.7724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No73c1,786$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.441,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c1,641$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.9314754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes25c1,560$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1705232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.578736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes30c1,330$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.014528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c1,329$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.8540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Yes73c1,240$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes28c1,214$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes28c1,213$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.283336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes25c1,097$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.837230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes28c1,062$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.4422125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes28c928.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.57728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d9…0695backed No72c922.42$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.141163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8620750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Yes72c757.78$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c48…7aafbacked Yes80c708.58$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209c…efc4backed Yes24c654.75$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…0aaebacked Yes25c640$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621c…1192backed Yes28c638.71$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Yes31c624.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No75c561.56$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes28c508$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes6c500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c464.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2927024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No43c460$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes25c408$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No46c406.48$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc6…d510backed Yes43c405.76$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9357…042ebacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No74c398$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes27c396.57$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.897755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes28c390$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.82045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c389.89$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.344,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.627060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes28c357.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3219426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c96…0b06backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No19c354.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes28c350.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes17c315.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.715545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x368c…73d0backed Yes77c310$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No75c306.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.447963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes28c299.61$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.782114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes25c299.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.75641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa223…6b6abacked Yes77c299.57$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes28c296.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c267.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9519654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b1c…2c81backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No75c242.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Yes21c233.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12817744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes27c218.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes77c207.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.821850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes18c200.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x637b…5c6bbacked No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cab…3280backed Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+448.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a6…2833backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.576942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.579736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3864…857fbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Yes7c171.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.434850%24 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes35c167.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b7…4929backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…5ad6backed No74c148$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No28c138$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes73c128.46$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0712149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No72c128$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1613543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.