Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7414748322d2689606f5030537182231f3c5e6e01fbcdd370b17fcab1291855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 44c | 1,669$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,608$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 1,555$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.62 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 57c | 1,151$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.89 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 65c | 1,020$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 977.05$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.32 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 44c | 901.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.52 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…b641backed Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…f945backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 52c | 571.81$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 42c | 557.14$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 545.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.54 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8df7backed Yes | 45c | 399.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 358.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 46c | 294.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 51c | 292.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 273.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 44c | 270.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 55c | 207.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 44c | 196.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 61c | 176.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…5299backed Yes | 68c | 147.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 55c | 145.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…7863backed Yes | 38c | 116.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 45c | 89.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c3…08a9backed Yes | 44c | 79.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 77.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 45c | 70.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…2d8ebacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b7…18f2backed Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…dcfdbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…ba27backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked No | 57c | 36.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 43c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 17.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.