Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0415504bdd90494279a0b2e9c7c798083a1a3c010f0e06e078cfc792e0d4efb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,963$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,047$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.48 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 13c | 1,426$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,239$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 30c | 710$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 588.06$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 27c | 399.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 30c | 396$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 70c | 352.86$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 322.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 73c | 299.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 147.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 123.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 72c | 120.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Yes | 32c | 58.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…be70backed Yes | 31c | 53.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.