Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5c8d8fa28d77b5552562f32393ac199fb6b92ed1c1e2239e29c09f7e4eb3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,272,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,474,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,272,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 43c | 3,099,525$1,321,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777,870.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 57c | 910,754$519,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519,035.96 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 56c | 845,790$473,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473,863.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 43c | 460,664$198,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,974.56 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 293,510$122,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,204.14 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 57c | 254,710$145,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,184.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed No | 58c | 245,442$142,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,356.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 57c | 222,571$125,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,981.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 58c | 204,120$117,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,874.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 59c | 107,999$63,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,559.15 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 58c | 99,348$57,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,621.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 97,185$56,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,798.12 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 58c | 87,781$50,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,724.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 67,331$16,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,755.22 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 58c | 64,496$37,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,566.66 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 44c | 62,925$27,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,895.52 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 57c | 62,000$35,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,339.98 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 75c | 53,816$40,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,348.45 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 58c | 48,000$27,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,840 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 44c | 45,530$19,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,719.31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 35c | 43,519$15,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,319.87 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 30c | 43,053$12,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,881.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 57c | 42,083$23,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,987.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 58c | 40,378$23,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,224.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,599.81 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked No | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,199.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 40c | 36,120$14,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,672.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 35,476$13,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,253.34 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 31,142$14,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,705.61 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed No | 58c | 30,800$17,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,864 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 43c | 30,452$13,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,431.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 58c | 29,543$17,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,134.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes | 45c | 29,539$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,204.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 27,837$12,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,156.42 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…7314backed Yes | 51c | 24,981$12,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,147.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 59c | 23,330$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Yes | 73c | 22,868$16,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 22,106$9,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,776.47 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 19,500$11,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 58c | 19,449$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 58c | 19,171$11,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,119.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 58c | 19,086$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,986.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 58c | 18,225$10,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,570.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 59c | 17,908$10,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,565.98 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 40c | 17,222$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,333.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 58c | 17,149$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,943.99 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 17,097$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.59 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 59c | 15,754$9,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,219.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 55c | 15,505$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,527.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked No | 58c | 14,609$8,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,473.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 58c | 14,521$8,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 41c | 14,163$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,356.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 58c | 13,755$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,977.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 79c | 12,254$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 57c | 11,484$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,545.89 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666c…1c48backed Yes | 42c | 11,478$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 44c | 11,374$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 58c | 10,890$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.69 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 46c | 10,517$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 43c | 10,332$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.41 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 58c | 9,718$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,636.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…d067backed Yes | 42c | 9,605$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 43c | 8,984$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Yes | 42c | 8,468$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 58c | 8,284$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 42c | 8,108$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.45 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 41c | 8,100$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 57c | 7,441$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.47 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Yes | 41c | 7,340$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes | 41c | 7,056$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 57c | 7,000$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 57c | 7,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 59c | 6,602$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.99 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 56c | 6,601$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 57c | 6,502$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.91 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 59c | 6,409$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 58c | 6,268$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 58c | 5,979$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…0f20backed No | 57c | 5,960$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 42c | 5,932$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.01 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 57c | 5,841$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 42c | 5,745$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…3da4backed No | 59c | 5,677$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Yes | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 52c | 5,429$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 9c | 5,292$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 40c | 5,197$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.42 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…cd9fbacked No | 60c | 5,096$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…c356backed Yes | 43c | 5,088$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.