TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No67c11,759$7,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.9921560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c6,617$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes16c5,708$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.771421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No39c5,649$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdad2…98c6backed Yes72c3,921$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c3,485$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.141,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c2,404$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.2624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes65c2,310$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes37c2,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes38c1,845$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No26c1,700$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.864839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No62c1,564$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2513050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No25c1,429$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.310752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c1,250$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No62c1,245$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.2114452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes52c1,136$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes36c1,132$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.377529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes18c1,127$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c1,042$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6db…1931backed Yes39c729.87$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c645.12$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fc…eeaabacked Yes61c627.87$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes38c421.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Yes70c379.81$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes37c356.76$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes38c336.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes7c310$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.634348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes38c276.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.073040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c263.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9987…79dfbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes61c223.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes39c215$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.853828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Yes61c204.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.78540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed Yes37c191.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes61c168.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.851030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes38c159$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes61c157.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No61c139.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.185736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes39c138.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes28c137.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…920cbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4df…c866backed Yes80c126.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cd…fdc9backed Yes37c101.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No61c101.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.726842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes42c96.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes38c91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.588447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No37c83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.986743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…b6b5backed Yes39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c77.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…a5e6backed Yes37c77.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes39c63.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604a…8379backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes39c62.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.354630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes70c57.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3830…73b7backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…af22backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340f…a2e7backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes37c53.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7880%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33e2…aec0backed Yes37c53.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…9317backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff3…dd33backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Yes39c51.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.