La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90230bd14949a665af24b184e00ad153d2b07bf31737c716b42d870047b0eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 78c | 28,518$22,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.02 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 22c | 19,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2c98backed Yes | 25c | 12,599$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 72c | 10,145$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.15 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 31c | 6,431$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 1c | 5,081$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 26c | 3,845$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 29c | 3,041$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 3,004$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 22c | 2,395$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 2,157$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.77 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 1,882$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,093$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 78c | 876.9$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 867.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 72c | 736$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 30c | 669.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 22c | 563.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 497.4$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…30febacked Yes | 24c | 408.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 13c | 395.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 283.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 6c | 270.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Yes | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 213.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73f…0a1ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…58bcbacked Yes | 24c | 204.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 175.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 162.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 22c | 140.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 129.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes | 28c | 106.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 95.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…d8aabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…3643backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…5799backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…8080backed Yes | 24c | 60.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…e71cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…f450backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed No | 78c | 47.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 22c | 47.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 23c | 47.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 45.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…0bd9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…21f6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…feccbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…8a5cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…70a4backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.