TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,713,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,956,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,713,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 996 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes41c297,893$121,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176,888.689146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes39c135,000$53,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,949.987060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No62c128,179$79,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,477.218241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed No65c122,317$79,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,258.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes38c114,589$43,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,257.2412848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No61c73,804$44,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,937.8110443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No62c60,698$37,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,832.6317853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No64c50,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,999.924459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes35c49,845$17,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,199.251030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No64c44,377$28,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,401.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No59c40,127$23,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,767.0836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes36c37,876$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,275.717346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No61c30,160$18,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,541.4517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes36c29,661$10,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,983.341315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes44c28,535$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,034.932437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No61c24,452$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,881.929857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No2c21,476$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.355628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00017048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c15,586$9,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,691.3915442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes39c15,458$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,458.285740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes36c15,278$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,777.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4504228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No63c13,536$8,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,527.555352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No41c13,450$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.7938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec9…b631backed Yes41c10,900$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,432.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227d…a39cbacked Yes37c10,809$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes38c10,526$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.3210631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No65c10,384$6,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.298259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c10,131$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.0820948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes40c10,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,05025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8818…3772backed No63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c9,311$5,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,486.4622147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No64c9,247$5,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,926.782250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No61c9,075$5,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,536.468848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No55c8,483$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.9914952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes36c8,115$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.632835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes38c7,075$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,386.43850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No59c6,766$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.588151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No61c6,762$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.4317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No65c6,216$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.47342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes36c6,167$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes39c6,116$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.456154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No60c6,025$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.5439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c5,965$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.1117466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes41c5,823$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes40c5,681$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes36c5,607$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.211752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes36c5,550$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ad…4a01backed Yes36c5,549$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes41c5,484$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,240.231957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes76c5,399$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes37c5,392$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.993959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c5,377$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.1138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ca…6e94backed Yes38c5,257$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfeb…c3c2backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2c…587bbacked Yes64c4,954$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No60c4,780$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.4819028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes40c4,716$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No60c4,592$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.853461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes55c4,438$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.624963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x0cf8…3309backed Yes36c4,284$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes37c4,241$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No14c4,240$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.995529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes35c4,200$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73012956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes36c4,167$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.677240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No61c4,036$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.222060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5606858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes36c3,977$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.4540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f0…f002backed Yes37c3,865$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No62c3,858$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.969341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes36c3,750$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes39c3,731$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes36c3,610$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes46c3,592$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes37c3,358$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes38c3,254$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes36c3,083$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.3321037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes36c3,056$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.565062%31 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yes37c3,048$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes42c3,041$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.543348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes78c3,000$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9204936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No3c2,832$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.342927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Yes38c2,825$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9a…9cc7backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+116.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe714…d510backed Yes37c2,674$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes37c2,673$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.772948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes38c2,650$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Yes39c2,631$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No58c2,600$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.9818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes37c2,577$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.047542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed Yes63c2,573$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.