TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes1c60,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes32c13,705$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.5417048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes26c8,019$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0852835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c6,166$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.141,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9f…3e91backed Yes25c6,001$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes12c4,433$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.475529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x486d…3d63backed Yes25c4,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5486…f674backed No75c4,002$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c6…46b3backed No75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes26c3,077$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8e…3c44backed No75c2,668$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Yes3c2,633$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes33c2,346$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.164619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes25c2,300$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c2,085$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3738048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes26c1,911$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.853531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa89…e99fbacked Yes26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes23c1,230$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d1…f279backed Yes28c914.39$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes13c678.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903240.6%13 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes15c671.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes28c666$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.164645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes15c654.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes26c463$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.382055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes27c450.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes20c393.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No79c390.21$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a2a…4945backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes26c295$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.44551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes5c279.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7238343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No73c273.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.989553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yes5c261$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.324151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x636f…ca5cbacked Yes12c251.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes14c198.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes25c170.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.829040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c170.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.941,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409645.8%44 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5411…72c0backed Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.22250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5740…c1a6backed Yes15c129.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c114$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.529142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…701abacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cff…2349backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46f…0819backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c95…ebecbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd141…764cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db1…689ebacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c7…e539backed Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49e…4808backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3061…862ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce1…22bbbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…7e09backed Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675470.4%38 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3212147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…07f1backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b28…15d7backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad3…915abacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f85…2b60backed Yes26c52.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133426.5%9 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes38c49.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.825543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes33c34.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24540%18 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e27…aa94backed No75c24.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed No75c15.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.733534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.