Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7745cb3b02cdf0f1b73a008924dddcb98217cce0016351a2355955b9da91067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 142,570$55,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,078.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 87,779$24,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,765.79 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 61c | 87,083$53,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,962.48 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 0c | 36,315$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 61c | 18,595$11,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.08 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 70c | 16,203$11,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…9cc7backed No | 61c | 13,016$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 36c | 11,991$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.07 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 60c | 11,143$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.11 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 10,813$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.7 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…f509backed Yes | 40c | 8,769$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 61c | 7,689$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.71 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 71c | 7,290$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 62c | 6,061$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.69 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 62c | 5,600$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 38c | 5,593$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed No | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed No | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 12c | 4,151$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.96 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked No | 62c | 4,058$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 28c | 3,661$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 62c | 3,283$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.14 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 2,910$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.24 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 63c | 2,613$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.91 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,405$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.81 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 61c | 2,273$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.3 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked No | 63c | 2,063$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,959$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 1,912$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 62c | 1,677$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.42 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed No | 63c | 1,619$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 38c | 1,605$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 60c | 1,562$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 1,505$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 61c | 1,438$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.82 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 63c | 1,381$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.88 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 1,360$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.75 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 41c | 1,211$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 37c | 1,165$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 39c | 1,140$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.32 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 62c | 1,040$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 60c | 999$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 36c | 848.46$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 67c | 808$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…ce46backed No | 68c | 805.88$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 61c | 785$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 61c | 767$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 72c | 664.36$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 63c | 651.22$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 61c | 635.89$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 66c | 555$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed No | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 60c | 534.15$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…a26cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 63c | 522.23$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…9750backed Yes | 6c | 477.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed No | 64c | 463.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 14c | 443.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 37c | 440$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…8eedbacked Yes | 34c | 438.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked No | 61c | 434.34$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 37c | 432.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…bfd6backed No | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 39c | 400.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 65c | 395.46$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 36c | 394.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 377.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 41c | 366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 62c | 362.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked No | 61c | 327.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 36c | 315.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed No | 61c | 311.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 62c | 310$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.