La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266221efb4cd5a6d47bcec13ab69766561d334b37cf1ac17ec4c7da0a60ff3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 40c | 266,502$106,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,156.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 60c | 56,223$33,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,489.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 60c | 47,872$28,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,148.94 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 61c | 29,688$18,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,578.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 62c | 22,592$14,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,584.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 35c | 16,521$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 61c | 13,346$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 39c | 13,284$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.76 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 13,198$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.9 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 37c | 12,500$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 11,944$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.3 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 9,649$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 12c | 9,387$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.17 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 39c | 9,290$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 24c | 9,190$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 8,407$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.71 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 7,533$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.28 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 68c | 5,788$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 63c | 5,429$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 14c | 4,800$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 4,441$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 4,287$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.18 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 17c | 4,274$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 63c | 3,969$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.43 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 3,293$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.07 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 3,014$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.07 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 2,823$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.94 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 62c | 2,799$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 62c | 2,513$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…c367backed Yes | 62c | 2,416$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 37c | 2,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.98 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,274$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 76c | 2,266$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 63c | 2,260$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 62c | 2,152$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 39c | 2,031$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.88 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked No | 31c | 1,833$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 37c | 1,683$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 40c | 1,672$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,550$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.92 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 37c | 1,523$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.66 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 1,352$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 63c | 1,304$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 38c | 1,294$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 16c | 1,273$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 38c | 1,166$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 1,100$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.79 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 64c | 1,086$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 42c | 1,067$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.1 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Yes | 61c | 1,039$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 36c | 999.92$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 38c | 989.46$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 62c | 925.68$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 76c | 920.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 32c | 909.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 62c | 835.48$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.48 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 61c | 780.78$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.78 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 63c | 752.38$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 74c | 746.73$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 63c | 693.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 38c | 644$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 63c | 625.35$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…f21ebacked Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 612.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.51 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 604.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 64c | 599$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…e95fbacked Yes | 79c | 568.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 564.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 65c | 537.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 38c | 529.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…bbaabacked Yes | 60c | 490.43$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 61c | 470.89$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 64c | 469.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Yes | 78c | 447.73$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 64c | 419.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 37c | 410.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 38c | 399.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 63c | 391.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 62c | 363.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Yes | 75c | 359.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…7861backed Yes | 63c | 347.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 64c | 346.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 64c | 342.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 64c | 340.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 66c | 324.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…8ed0backed Yes | 63c | 303.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.