NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628d20854d7761409fe37169da55350fc4140aa103824a77394ff807238ec406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,760,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,884,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,760,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Ducks | 44c | 325,583$142,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,082.37 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Kings | 56c | 255,064$142,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,835.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Ducks | 44c | 214,034$93,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,378.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Kings | 0c | 193,530$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kings | 56c | 179,883$101,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,533.26 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…bd47backed Kings | 0c | 87,670$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 43c | 74,652$31,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,856.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Ducks | 51c | 73,751$37,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,213.39 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 58c | 53,446$30,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,929.6 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 55c | 52,990$29,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,304.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 56c | 27,001$15,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,020.54 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Kings | 0c | 26,030$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 56c | 23,999$13,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,439.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 56c | 23,769$13,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,289.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ducks | 43c | 23,222$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.76 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 56c | 17,500$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kings | 48c | 15,797$7,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.32 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings | 58c | 15,539$9,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.43 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Kings | 58c | 13,706$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 48c | 12,991$6,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 42c | 12,827$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.67 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Ducks | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Ducks | 43c | 11,600$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Kings | 58c | 11,499$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,664.61 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings | 59c | 10,932$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.56 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 42c | 9,815$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.93 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Ducks | 44c | 8,509$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.26 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 57c | 7,843$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ducks | 42c | 7,777$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.66 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 67c | 7,279$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 59c | 7,209$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.75 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 57c | 6,766$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.41 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 30c | 6,739$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 56c | 6,675$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.95 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kings | 57c | 6,565$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.05 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 44c | 6,500$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.05 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 57c | 6,213$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.41 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 42c | 6,121$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings | 57c | 6,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ducks | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.99 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 56c | 5,714$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 58c | 5,257$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.06 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Kings | 71c | 5,195$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 57c | 5,178$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.54 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Kings | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kings | 56c | 5,023$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.04 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Ducks | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 57c | 4,672$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.91 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 42c | 4,501$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.41 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Kings | 56c | 4,300$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.99 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Ducks | 38c | 4,166$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.95 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 42c | 3,657$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.89 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Ducks | 47c | 3,570$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.57 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 57c | 3,447$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.87 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ducks | 49c | 3,235$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.1 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Kings | 59c | 2,980$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 43c | 2,900$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 43c | 2,812$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.78 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Ducks | 25c | 2,721$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.83 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 44c | 2,709$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.87 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…4682backed Ducks | 41c | 2,651$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Ducks | 42c | 2,479$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.57 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Ducks | 42c | 2,350$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 75c | 2,318$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.19 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Kings | 57c | 2,191$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.69 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings | 57c | 2,135$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Ducks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Ducks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Ducks | 49c | 1,732$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Kings | 64c | 1,706$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.3 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Ducks | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Ducks | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 70c | 1,643$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.44 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Kings | 57c | 1,589$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.45 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 57c | 1,561$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.18 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Kings | 55c | 1,542$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ducks | 46c | 1,537$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed Kings | 59c | 1,497$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kings | 4c | 1,487$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Kingsthis page
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.