NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78f6077789b2eccf0c26b12f64fee404e028c125c7c996c8d584160c3e440f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 5,281$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 44c | 5,200$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 4,149$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.07 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 56c | 3,671$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.54 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 6c | 3,191$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 2,749$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.86 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 57c | 2,440$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 57c | 2,298$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.14 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Over | 44c | 1,780$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 1,186$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 12c | 1,074$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 47c | 854.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 44c | 734.94$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 623.25$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 590.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 580$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 55c | 463.02$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 54c | 462.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 52c | 359.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 350$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 332.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 222.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 219.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Under | 62c | 195.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 6c | 171.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 253 | 54.2%137 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Under | 78c | 138.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 137.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 135.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 46.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Over | 45c | 45.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 58c | 43.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 40.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 42c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 33.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…b7ddbacked Under | 56c | 31.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 46c | 29.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Under | 56c | 27.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 43c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. KingsDucks won
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.