TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$585,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes58c72,431$42,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,009.842626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No42c60,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,799.883842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No42c40,087$16,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,137.288241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No46c38,698$17,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,825.978259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No42c38,676$16,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,431.83522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c37,068$18,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,266.091,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No42c30,188$12,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,396.459857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes57c28,922$16,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,374.499146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes55c23,869$13,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,061.3612848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No45c22,326$10,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,280.352250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes56c18,852$10,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,465.6610631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes55c18,245$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No43c14,643$6,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,364.9517852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes58c13,500$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8304459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c2…8775backed Yes58c13,219$7,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No44c12,981$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,228.6938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No46c11,776$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.267052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No46c11,446$5,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,180.87742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No42c9,896$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.215360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes55c9,331$5,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,178.416136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Yes55c9,326$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…7a40backed Yes58c8,500$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c7,613$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.2529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes58c7,500$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3504020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdb63…09e1backed No63c7,117$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes52c7,060$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.723647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…1ce7backed Yes58c6,348$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes57c5,999$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.4310232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes57c5,858$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.034746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes56c5,326$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb49e…8534backed No44c5,307$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c4,964$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.0710051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes54c4,755$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.887060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No44c4,509$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.971030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed No45c4,440$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+149.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb39…d182backed Yes55c4,371$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c4,277$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.8510040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c4,105$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.3422147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3202025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7682…07fdbacked Yes55c3,700$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc707…cab7backed No46c3,683$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.373050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes58c3,048$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.92835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No45c3,008$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.989643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No45c3,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.9919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No49c2,941$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.5417348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No42c2,823$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.129136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No43c2,622$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.548151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked Yes57c2,600$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes58c2,552$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35020948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No59c2,500$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.9910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…dfd0backed Yes58c2,498$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e47…0661backed Yes57c2,335$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.96540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x995b…d171backed Yes65c2,300$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes45c2,297$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.262626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6339…a0c9backed Yes62c2,224$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes68c2,188$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…09bcbacked No46c2,100$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+83.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No43c2,100$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.9915032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c2,095$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.951,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bb97backed Yes52c2,060$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes49c1,998$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…d53fbacked Yes57c1,969$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…85afbacked No45c1,969$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…3f7cbacked No45c1,955$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a6…510dbacked Yes57c1,954$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7900…c1e9backed Yes56c1,948$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde98…bedfbacked No45c1,947$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1214…422ebacked No45c1,945$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa147…5093backed Yes56c1,945$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b61…35abbacked No45c1,937$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b9…93f9backed Yes56c1,937$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807d…01cbbacked Yes55c1,930$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de5…1c4cbacked Yes52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes41c1,909$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.111957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf110…5724backed Yes58c1,903$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No45c1,901$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.116955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed No43c1,900$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c1,895$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.1638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2245…0534backed Yes57c1,888$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb641…ac31backed No45c1,888$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes59c1,688$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…1eaabacked Yes54c1,654$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d0…c293backed Yes57c1,624$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345e…8fa6backed Yes55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ee…344bbacked No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes58c1,498$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No43c1,360$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.4710660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c1,353$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes37c1,343$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.755343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes38c1,331$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes54c1,315$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.