Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79bda8a6e6e2fa42136d057c9c7c40cff62816a56d5115ce506f8024e0f12555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 79c | 95,501$75,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,701.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 22c | 18,682$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,628.48 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 17,792$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,948.98 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 22c | 17,046$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,295.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 79c | 15,602$12,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,325.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 12,340$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.76 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 25c | 9,666$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,270.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 9,059$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,066.09 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed No | 79c | 8,511$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 8,175$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.23 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 7,590$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.1 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.98 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 79c | 7,400$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.98 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 77c | 6,977$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.51 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 25c | 6,201$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 5,910$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.32 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,436$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 5,247$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.76 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 23c | 4,767$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 4,525$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.61 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 4,429$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.42 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 19c | 4,380$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.16 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,100$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 3,976$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.55 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Yes | 18c | 3,833$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked No | 76c | 3,525$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 24c | 3,090$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 26c | 3,077$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,043$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.48 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…0f7cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,014$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 77c | 2,764$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 77c | 2,360$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 77c | 2,313$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.89 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 22c | 2,235$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.76 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 21c | 2,197$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…9fdfbacked Yes | 24c | 2,146$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 2,138$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.82 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…8f64backed Yes | 26c | 2,005$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 1,930$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 23c | 1,881$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.38 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 1,855$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.31 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 1,736$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.59 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 21c | 1,590$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 75c | 1,586$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.46 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 22c | 1,550$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 54c | 1,541$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.07 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed No | 8c | 1,440$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed No | 76c | 1,308$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 76c | 1,184$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.36 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 16c | 1,082$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.88 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 1,057$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.51 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,032$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.45 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…f73bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yes | 22c | 917.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 893.78$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 833$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 75c | 770$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 713.58$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 23c | 697.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 15c | 673.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…248fbacked No | 75c | 645.33$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 22c | 616.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 22c | 615.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 11c | 610.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 23c | 499.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 22c | 455.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…9af0backed Yes | 22c | 444.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +344.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Yes | 22c | 444$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 21c | 441.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…ec3abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 58c | 432.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 25c | 425$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.15 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 12c | 420.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 26c | 405.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?No won
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.