Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb642a3c1e71c31c26819e95f63abf5f2bbcb9df5aaf900e629130b3fa5ad7120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Kostyuk, Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Muchova | 67c | 27,177$18,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.82 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Kostyuk | 30c | 15,877$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.67 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kostyuk | 47c | 10,940$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.46 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kostyuk | 29c | 10,096$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.17 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muchova | 65c | 7,796$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.77 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kostyuk | 49c | 6,409$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.6 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Muchova | 43c | 5,641$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Muchova | 53c | 3,457$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.28 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Kostyuk | 31c | 3,336$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.89 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Kostyuk | 34c | 3,222$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kostyuk | 71c | 2,567$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.99 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Kostyuk | 43c | 2,232$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.48 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Muchova | 71c | 2,077$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.93 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Muchova | 51c | 1,650$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kostyuk | 66c | 1,352$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.21 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6b7fbacked Muchova | 57c | 1,193$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kostyuk | 22c | 1,150$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.97 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Muchova | 68c | 1,058$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.32 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kostyuk | 33c | 1,029$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.34 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kostyuk | 39c | 992.51$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Muchova | 77c | 918.35$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kostyuk | 42c | 900.89$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.37 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Muchova | 78c | 803.35$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Muchova | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Kostyuk | 19c | 755$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Kostyuk | 72c | 693.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Kostyuk | 59c | 620$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Muchova | 66c | 612.24$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Muchova | 75c | 604.26$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Kostyuk | 40c | 601.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Kostyuk | 42c | 570.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Muchova | 58c | 568.14$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Kostyuk | 60c | 567.41$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Kostyuk | 57c | 558.73$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.02 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Muchova | 72c | 550$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Muchova | 37c | 538.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.95 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kostyuk | 63c | 526.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Kostyuk | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Kostyuk | 40c | 479.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Kostyuk | 45c | 453.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Muchova | 24c | 411.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Muchova | 49c | 380$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Muchova | 28c | 359.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Muchova | 67c | 345.52$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Muchova | 59c | 337.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Muchova | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Kostyuk | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Muchova | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kostyuk | 77c | 283.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kostyuk | 40c | 271.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Muchova | 43c | 248.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Kostyuk | 67c | 240$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kostyuk | 42c | 236.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Muchova | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Muchova | 39c | 228.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Kostyuk | 40c | 218$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Kostyuk | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Muchova | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Muchova | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Muchova | 55c | 180.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Muchova | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Muchova | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Muchova | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Kostyuk | 44c | 164.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…e1b8backed Muchova | 57c | 152.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Muchova | 70c | 143.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Kostyuk | 33c | 142.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Muchova | 63c | 141.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Muchova | 43c | 132.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Kostyuk | 25c | 121.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Muchova | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Muchova | 40c | 118.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Kostyuk | 35c | 111.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…f896backed Muchova | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Muchova | 61c | 100.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Kostyuk | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Muchova | 28c | 97.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Muchova | 57c | 97.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Kostyuk | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Kostyuk | 29c | 87.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Muchova | 67c | 86.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Kostyuk | 28c | 82.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Kostyuk | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Muchova | 75c | 76.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Muchova | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Muchova | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Kostyuk | 25c | 71.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Kostyuk | 30c | 69.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Muchova | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…10d3backed Muchova | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Muchova | 26c | 50.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Kostyuk | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Muchova | 32c | 48.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kostyuk | 42c | 43.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…4eb0backed Muchova | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Muchova | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Muchova | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed Muchova | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Muchova | 56c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Muchova | 79c | 25.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.