Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49774783b801035fa9300625fbaedd3f74bdf2a148e01aa30c016b5d96cd0619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $753,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 75c | 60,360$45,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,247.8 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 25c | 49,860$12,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,395 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 26c | 44,063$11,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,606.48 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 25c | 29,205$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,795.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 25c | 27,865$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,764.17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 23,538$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,713.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 21,562$15,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,895.22 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 21,441$15,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,903.96 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 13c | 19,313$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,802.83 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 27c | 19,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 74c | 17,739$13,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,140.8 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 27c | 17,721$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,003.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 25c | 17,275$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.26 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 27c | 14,263$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 13c | 13,000$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,303.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 70c | 10,254$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 8,048$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.48 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 25c | 8,013$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.97 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 70c | 8,000$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 7,603$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.85 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 26c | 6,800$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 25c | 6,736$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 74c | 6,558$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.81 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 74c | 6,121$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.35 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.98 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 25c | 5,994$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 5,717$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 74c | 4,799$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.28 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 75c | 4,667$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.49 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 74c | 4,222$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.28 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.95 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 74c | 3,864$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.95 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,244$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.61 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 25c | 3,151$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 52c | 3,004$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,942$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 35c | 2,899$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.7 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 64c | 2,821$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 25c | 2,800$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.77 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 75c | 2,495$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.99 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 75c | 2,425$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,395$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 2,357$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.69 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.98 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 26c | 1,950$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,898$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.26 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 26c | 1,696$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.21 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 71c | 1,690$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,531$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.05 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 50c | 1,503$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.14 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…c664backed Yes | 72c | 1,463$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 70c | 1,450$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 69c | 1,406$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 39c | 1,285$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Yes | 74c | 1,259$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 70c | 1,155$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 64c | 1,109$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 75c | 1,088$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 74c | 1,054$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 76c | 1,049$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 28c | 1,041$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 25c | 1,012$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.29 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…feb3backed Yes | 75c | 917.33$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 51c | 830$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 74c | 822.97$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 72c | 764.36$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 74c | 759.44$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.74 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 72c | 739.53$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.46 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 737$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 75c | 733.33$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.