La Liga · resolved market
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3ad36f0fd8fb3d809121e9773868342ac80ad80b3400677d4393ceaeb6656f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 56c | 896.08$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 27c | 883.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 40c | 750.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 614.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 607.31$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked No | 61c | 456$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 442.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 61c | 436$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.96 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 403.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 43c | 402$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 66c | 382.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 28c | 360.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 356.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 43c | 314.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 274.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 235.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 233.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 219$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 73c | 199.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 192.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…81ebbacked Yes | 29c | 174.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 51c | 157.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 147.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed No | 43c | 121.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 121.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 50c | 94.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 87.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 78.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 16c | 75.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 66.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 25c | 61.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…8776backed No | 75c | 61.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 55.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 55.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes | 69c | 54.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 48.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…0fbabacked Yes | 32c | 45.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 38c | 39.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 38.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 71c | 33.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 63c | 31.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Yes | 36c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…ad43backed Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.