TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No45c19,418$8,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,738.093946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No45c10,522$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.999748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes46c6,368$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.9212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes52c3,962$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c3,891$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.7290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9613845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No46c2,804$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2906357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c2,755$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.1950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c2,724$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.771,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No46c2,011$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.027851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes55c1,900$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85513958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes20c1,900$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52023762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes22c1,500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.943520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes50c1,381$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes42c1,191$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.293847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c1,179$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes56c1,173$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.3221641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes55c1,144$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.739656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes33c1,095$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.1819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No46c1,093$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No44c814.65$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes54c812.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.566640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes34c792.61$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.539541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c782$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.91,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No45c755.56$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c741.44$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No47c689$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8310245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No9c688.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes54c666.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27015049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No45c591.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c577.78$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5627854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes77c512.39$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0710230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No7c470.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.133040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes13c457.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8212251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No44c426.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.713537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes55c418.63$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No49c410.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes56c401.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.793525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No55c399.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.994564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No4c382.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Yes41c377$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes36c375$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.514738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes55c364$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6415646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes55c309.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.442951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes55c257.93$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0711264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes55c255$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7520452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304425%11 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes55c222.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.114042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.114845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes49c217.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1126241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes54c216.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.663850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes70c207.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.796575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925657.1%32 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a06…f003backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c198$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c193.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.312,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked No9c190.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.221822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes56c186.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2312045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes50c185.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5e…7952backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes33c171$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1515246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Yes42c165.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.558838.6%34 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…d7bebacked Yes41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No51c159.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5912744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No45c145.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c139.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.634,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Yes53c132.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.733053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes55c129.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.092941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…e93bbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.185850%29 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes56c115.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.652070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c103.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No44c102.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4116838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6630956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.596443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c6e…81ebbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.917431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c90.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes19c84.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.011,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.