TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c12,707$9,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.54,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes17c11,891$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.741,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c11,316$8,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes36c9,354$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.444845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes19c8,901$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.1360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes44c7,448$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.6222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No59c6,599$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.2612553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c6,023$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.22,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e58…c676backed Yes18c2,999$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes18c2,945$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.585735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes20c2,869$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No58c2,699$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.372965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes19c2,534$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.510245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c2,520$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.9490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes43c1,831$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.553847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes18c1,800$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c1,599$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4558…d800backed Yes74c1,434$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes18c1,428$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.073327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No34c1,372$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.8269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c1,319$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.8240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes23c1,274$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d23…8776backed No55c1,081$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes22c1,076$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.776575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes48c889.05$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed No51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39213958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Yes56c744.82$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No61c688.26$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2610230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes38c620.23$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2115036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c608.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3816926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No62c605.3$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No33c569.66$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes44c544.53$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.414456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2108143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes19c394.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes18c361.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No58c321$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9823762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes18c307.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes32c293$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes19c239.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes18c239.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.862326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes19c222.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.344042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No36c208.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.520047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes57c174.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No65c165.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7616838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes42c154.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.359655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes26c151.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No64c145.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3729946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e6…3363backed Yes14c145.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3340%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes18c140.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2311342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes18c127.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No37c123.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.232650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes18c122.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes49c117.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4211336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes18c114.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6323947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes14c106$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked No35c105.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes18c98.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185850%29 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed No36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82b…e65abacked Yes42c95.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes44c73.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes20c71.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.249554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes17c61.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0819646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No56c37.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6910039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21bc…62d0backed Yes48c26.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No79c23.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked No78c22.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…ad43backed Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.