Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6c8e6aba71f8a16987c05afd8a97173d4cbbe4ec2a81c1886d8ddb92486603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 7,006$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.35 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 4,494$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 25c | 1,501$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 1,294$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,233$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,056$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 1,010$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…de60backed Yes | 44c | 899.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 73c | 833.46$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 24c | 822.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 70c | 670.24$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 627.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 33c | 608.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…2460backed Yes | 24c | 583.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 20c | 501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 24c | 449.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…6628backed Yes | 33c | 302.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 76c | 263.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 236.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 230$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 31c | 215.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 28c | 202.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…6a93backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 33c | 196.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 11c | 194.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yes | 26c | 182.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…894bbacked Yes | 19c | 181.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 76c | 154.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…b277backed Yes | 32c | 133.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…84b0backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 126.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Yes | 31c | 116.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…8487backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…8dc4backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 24c | 91.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…a55cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Yes | 31c | 41.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 31c | 41.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Yes | 28c | 39.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9dfabacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…5470backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed No | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…886bbacked No | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…d3cdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…854abacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…ec2abacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.