Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ba6893bf11ac39eac06d3e373f9656d46193c07d52f8fabcd5ed3651231289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 46c | 70,711$32,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,246.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 54c | 65,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 44c | 39,099$17,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,895.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 47c | 18,981$8,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.81 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 10,079$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.87 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,997$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,913$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 54c | 7,955$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 46c | 7,245$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…9b08backed Yes | 55c | 7,240$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.82 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 6,561$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Yes | 56c | 6,253$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 57c | 5,816$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 5,733$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.92 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 24c | 5,210$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 5,100$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 46c | 4,371$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 4,306$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 56c | 3,320$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 3,055$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.55 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 69c | 2,985$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,599$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 56c | 2,492$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,359$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,356$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 58c | 2,300$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 56c | 2,069$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,025$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 68c | 1,977$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 4c | 1,858$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 60c | 1,845$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 64c | 1,812$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 56c | 1,796$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 47c | 1,672$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.34 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 49c | 1,435$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed Yes | 55c | 1,310$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,216$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 49c | 1,170$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.8 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,170$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 45c | 1,065$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.73 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,064$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 56c | 1,055$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…084fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,051$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 54c | 957.61$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 56c | 908.47$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 55c | 900.68$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 45c | 900.22$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 55c | 866.96$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…1654backed Yes | 56c | 828.73$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 56c | 776.79$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 45c | 737.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 56c | 642.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 53c | 633.96$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 55c | 621.27$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 43c | 599.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 25c | 572.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 55c | 547$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 56c | 535.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 55c | 506.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 28c | 504.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 22c | 451.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 45c | 446.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 441.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 44c | 440.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…56dcbacked Yes | 27c | 408.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 23c | 399.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Yes | 56c | 362.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 56c | 358.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…5679backed Yes | 37c | 350.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 45c | 342$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…8675backed No | 45c | 321.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed No | 67c | 318.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Yes | 39c | 318.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 44c | 315$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.