TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked No78c16,750$13,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,065955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes22c15,877$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,384.336960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed Yes22c15,152$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,819.742040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No78c14,002$10,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,921.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No6c6,594$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No33c5,689$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.1221560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No78c4,913$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.872832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes49c3,701$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes76c2,676$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No78c2,600$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0285354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes69c2,314$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.361656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes23c2,135$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.871811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes23c2,030$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca9…b4debacked Yes23c1,903$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+333.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No62c1,800$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1163743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked No34c1,706$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked No36c1,705$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c1,299$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No40c1,174$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.71656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…0b43backed Yes47c1,017$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes41c926.08$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…335abacked Yes43c922.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked No60c897.14$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28e…084fbacked No78c879.45$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No42c706.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed No70c605$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4687549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes22c556.6$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6323153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes22c524.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes61c490.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.313053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe06a…a476backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes22c439.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.696835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc42…8e99backed No79c408$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes49c339.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No78c330.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.46862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked No49c312.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c7…af7fbacked Yes65c305.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed No77c299.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes21c279.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.14645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked No78c279$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No79c269$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.511872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c230$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c225.65$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.551850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed No68c219.2$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes23c217.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…58a6backed No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes22c200$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes22c194.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.563036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb3…2d43backed Yes51c194.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes72c190.28$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…fe26backed No79c176.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Yes58c171.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…15d7backed Yes53c166.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No65c153.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes23c152.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed No75c151.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2008…19dabacked Yes70c151$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c131.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.257926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No79c124.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.131566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes53c113.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes39c110$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6bc7…395dbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9bb…8dc4backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001b…1bd7backed Yes23c95.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes76c91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.597546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Yes56c88.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.712250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa431…1806backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24d…6ae3backed No78c86.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed No64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd495…02adbacked Yes76c76.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a94…ed73backed Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd703…b62ebacked No78c70$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.185735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…735ebacked Yes52c68.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No45c66.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.044055%22 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes23c66.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+115.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…06a9backed No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…5578backed No79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes65c62.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348d…d641backed Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…0146backed Yes47c51.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.