TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f1c…335a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China Open: David Goffin vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
China Open: Yue Yuan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
China Open: Yue Yuan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$81.52
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Casper Ruud vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$53.14
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Machac vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$38.12
China Open: Anna Bondar vs Bianca Andreescubacked Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.5
China Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$83.63
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$35.29
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Marton Fucsovics vs Frances Tiafoebacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$34.36
China Open: Katie Boulter vs Hailey Baptistebacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.28
China Open: Priscilla Hon vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.93
China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper de Jongbacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$515.49
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Bublikbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,014.3
China Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+113%+$508.33
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.33
Hangzhou Open: Alexander Bublik vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$211
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Corentin Moutetbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+113.9%+$600.49
Chengdu Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$233
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Hangzhou Open: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royerbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Chengdu Open: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$522.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.