CS2 · resolved market
CS: Aurora vs Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a191f9c8c99fdef0ef31e8064c0927c1587ad56346ec2026e419871f8206d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Aurora, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 41c | 32,360$13,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,243.59 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Liquid | 37c | 29,883$11,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,687.03 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Aurora | 68c | 25,222$17,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150.95 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Aurora | 67c | 15,596$10,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,515.97 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Liquid | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.96 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Aurora | 70c | 7,094$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Liquid | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Liquid | 30c | 5,282$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.99 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Aurora | 70c | 5,075$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.59 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Liquid | 43c | 4,495$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.59 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Liquid | 61c | 4,438$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Aurora | 71c | 4,236$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Aurora | 46c | 3,732$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.04 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Aurora | 56c | 3,512$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.96 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Aurora | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aurora | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.33 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Liquid | 43c | 3,172$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.14 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Aurora | 56c | 2,072$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.24 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Aurora | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aurora | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Liquid | 37c | 1,955$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.68 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,690$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.59 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Aurora | 69c | 1,580$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.53 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,534$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,392$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Aurora | 74c | 1,355$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Aurora | 72c | 1,353$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Aurora | 49c | 912.58$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.74 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 57c | 901.75$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.75 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liquid | 37c | 862.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.5 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Liquid | 42c | 830.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 35c | 802.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.58 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Aurora | 70c | 798$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.6 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 38c | 736.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.71 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora | 44c | 732.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Aurora | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Liquid | 49c | 685.47$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.59 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 70c | 672.86$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked Aurora | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Aurora | 65c | 582.14$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Aurora | 53c | 572.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…5fdcbacked Aurora | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Aurora | 74c | 472.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Liquid | 29c | 445$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Aurora | 70c | 435$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Aurora | 46c | 433.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Aurora | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Liquid | 21c | 388.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liquid | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Liquid | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Liquid | 55c | 313.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Aurora | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Aurora | 39c | 304.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Aurora | 48c | 287.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Aurora | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Aurora | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora | 62c | 280.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Aurora | 12c | 280.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Liquid | 30c | 269.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Aurora | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…b074backed Aurora | 70c | 215$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Liquid | 37c | 208.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Liquid | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Liquid | 31c | 188$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Liquid | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Aurora | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Aurora | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Aurora | 36c | 163.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Liquid | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…222cbacked Aurora | 70c | 148$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…3e7bbacked Liquid | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Aurora | 70c | 145$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Aurora | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Aurora | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Aurora | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Aurora | 71c | 139.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Aurora | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Aurora | 57c | 130.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Aurora | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Aurora | 49c | 114.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Liquid | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Liquid | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Liquid | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Liquid | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Aurora | 70c | 90.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Aurora | 70c | 78.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Aurora | 69c | 72.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…544abacked Aurora | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aurora | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed Aurora | 69c | 69.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Aurora | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Aurora | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Aurora | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.