TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67ec…f816

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$899.71
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$95.03
CS: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$55.34
CS: FURIA vs Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.48
CS: ESC vs fnaticbacked ESC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
CS: FURIA vs Astralisbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$113.28
CS: Aurora vs Liquidbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.95
CS: G2 vs The MongolZbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: TYLOO vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$58.48
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: OG vs. Falconsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. BetBoombacked BetBoom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.96
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: paiN vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$18.3
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. Legacybacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.76
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: M80 vs. TYLOObacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.7
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. Legacybacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: paiN vs. Nemigabacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Virtus.pro vs. OGbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Imperialbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+110.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$220.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$23.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.