TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Swiatek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$492,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa84b…5055backed Sabalenka73c53,474$39,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,187.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabalenka70c45,379$31,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,658.4814345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Swiatek24c30,157$7,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,286.051533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Sabalenka53c25,859$13,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,153.8616242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Sabalenka66c18,064$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.033655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Swiatek1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Swiatek29c13,136$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.021,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Swiatek47c11,770$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.911230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Swiatek34c10,611$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6524723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Swiatek27c10,302$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.282657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Sabalenka64c9,208$5,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.869652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784b…de47backed Swiatek40c7,534$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Swiatek46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e85…1ccdbacked Swiatek2c7,032$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.612123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Sabalenka60c6,487$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.9864755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed Swiatek31c5,500$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Swiatek47c5,409$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.362157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Swiatek47c4,343$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.446376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sabalenka53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabalenka53c3,732$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.251,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Swiatek34c3,457$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1410046%46 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Sabalenka53c2,778$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.5512231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Swiatek24c2,622$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.928231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Swiatek47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.144744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Sabalenka54c2,116$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.375525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Swiatek24c2,100$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50722021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Sabalenka49c2,068$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.1826039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Swiatek24c2,057$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730c…d996backed Swiatek29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.373147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Swiatek43c1,862$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Sabalenka54c1,706$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.885438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf75a…3e62backed Swiatek8c1,697$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Swiatek46c1,571$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.5460%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Swiatek45c1,546$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5417244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Sabalenka54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Sabalenka77c1,438$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Swiatek20c1,354$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.886136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Swiatek17c1,347$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2313844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Swiatek8c1,309$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.364628.3%13 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Swiatek33c1,197$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0438147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Swiatek32c1,155$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.98348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Swiatek45c1,045$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.059137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sabalenka54c1,037$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Swiatek47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Swiatek47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Sabalenka55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Swiatek46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Swiatek35c1,000$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.410654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Swiatek42c998.56$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd150…264fbacked Swiatek46c978.81$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Swiatek44c976.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.879130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889d…19bcbacked Sabalenka53c934.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Sabalenka75c896.47$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.155867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Swiatek37c880.47$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.886535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe082…91f8backed Swiatek20c850$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.45728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35a…8706backed Swiatek24c819.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Swiatek14c758.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.813023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cd…bb91backed Sabalenka79c730.28$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.144757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…96bbbacked Sabalenka55c729.09$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c2…d478backed Swiatek27c712.76$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Sabalenka65c711.32$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9413864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Sabalenka74c706.65$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.731668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Sabalenka65c682.6$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.1562952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Swiatek46c652.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.096338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabalenka52c648.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004f…c39fbacked Swiatek31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Swiatek47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Sabalenka55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.361450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x939f…2865backed Swiatek47c633.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Swiatek48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28828451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sabalenka53c565.02$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0328043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Swiatek47c559.57$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sabalenka66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Swiatek25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12525144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Swiatek48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24023152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x109a…a540backed Swiatek42c500$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Sabalenka54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23014850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…aac8backed Swiatek47c487.23$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2294233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Swiatek47c480.92$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.033435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe560…11f0backed Swiatek48c429.21$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.021338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Sabalenka53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.53728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Swiatek24c410.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.573243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e4…02a8backed Swiatek23c400$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sabalenka53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Swiatek46c363.64$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.273641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Swiatek47c352.57$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.921866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cc…769cbacked Swiatek23c334.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d9…e451backed Swiatek30c332.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Swiatek28c326.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Swiatek30c322.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22229.1%2 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-79.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Swiatek47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd8…1652backed Sabalenka79c306.27$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Sabalenka77c303$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.691266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9136…7169backed Swiatek39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11680%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Swiatek28c300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8352750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Swiatek34c291.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1960342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f31…cb74backed Swiatek36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Swiatek38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9517867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Swiatek48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.