CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: M80 vs. TYLOO
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17c2a1d932874e27638f31961e49c4437988906b1f6fe4d5986f82135ee2870d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof M80, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked TYLOO | 57c | 13,011$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed M80 | 45c | 7,131$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.18 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked M80 | 43c | 5,873$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.21 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed M80 | 51c | 3,312$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed TYLOO | 53c | 1,350$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed M80 | 50c | 1,312$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.85 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed TYLOO | 56c | 1,138$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked M80 | 44c | 1,115$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.48 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed M80 | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TYLOO | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked TYLOO | 51c | 987.15$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.55 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked TYLOO | 55c | 539.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked TYLOO | 52c | 486.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked M80 | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed TYLOO | 52c | 425.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed M80 | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked TYLOO | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked M80 | 14c | 350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed M80 | 46c | 242.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed TYLOO | 41c | 217.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TYLOO | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked TYLOO | 56c | 182.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed M80 | 46c | 179.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked TYLOO | 67c | 171.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed M80 | 61c | 153.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed M80 | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed TYLOO | 31c | 101.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked TYLOO | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TYLOO | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed M80 | 68c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked M80 | 80c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed M80 | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed TYLOO | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed M80 | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed TYLOO | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed TYLOO | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked M80 | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…e1f8backed TYLOO | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…af1abacked M80 | 46c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…727fbacked TYLOO | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.