CS2 · resolved market
Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00432b66d57942dd75f98702d14abc42db239b32730adf6fa47662682f79f723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe327…1fffbacked Yes | 37c | 60,393$22,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,345.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7888backed No | 63c | 60,393$38,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,345.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed Yes | 56c | 3,563$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed No | 44c | 3,351$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.77 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 51c | 1,788$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.67 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 50c | 1,198$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.67 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.96 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 44c | 976.6$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 51c | 946$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.47 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Yes | 58c | 797.87$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked No | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 57c | 593.27$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.83 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 37c | 548.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 56c | 535.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 48c | 530$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Yes | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 467.24$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 22c | 459.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 46c | 404.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 18c | 386.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Yes | 48c | 349.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed No | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked No | 46c | 98.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 42c | 83.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes | 55c | 61.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked No | 41c | 58.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked Yes | 41c | 56.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…9a45backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…1220backed No | 39c | 49.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked No | 49c | 44.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed Yes | 45c | 44.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 34c | 41.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 49c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked No | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?this page
- Will B8 qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will BetBoom qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Chinggis Warriors qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Complexity qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Fluxo qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will HEROIC qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Imperial qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Lynn Vision qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will NRG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will OG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will TYLOO qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Wildcard qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.