CS2 · resolved market
Will OG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ec07194ecaff229410e1da446f01748dcff15c51a9cc1130f87981b4d1465a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4511…3efebacked Yes | 56c | 31,369$17,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,802.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…0c85backed No | 44c | 31,369$13,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,802.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 40c | 200.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 61c | 107.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 61c | 98.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed No | 45c | 88.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 71.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked No | 36c | 57.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 58c | 36.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed No | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?this page
- Will B8 qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will BetBoom qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Chinggis Warriors qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Complexity qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Fluxo qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will HEROIC qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Imperial qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Lynn Vision qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will NRG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
- Will TYLOO qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes won
- Will Wildcard qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.