CS2 · resolved market
CS: FURIA vs Astralis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38676ff41f4fbaf9123686a88d1120481703cd630666dfbe7dc3d62ddba6973d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Astralis | 33c | 21,512$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.92 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 66c | 9,326$6,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.86 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Astralis | 34c | 9,290$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.7 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed FURIA | 66c | 6,489$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.26 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Astralis | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Astralis | 26c | 4,792$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.64 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astralis | 31c | 4,556$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.1 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked FURIA | 67c | 3,567$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.16 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed FURIA | 67c | 3,479$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Astralis | 23c | 2,853$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.44 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA | 67c | 2,750$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.53 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 76c | 2,144$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.08 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked FURIA | 67c | 1,717$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.55 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FURIA | 71c | 1,512$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA | 67c | 1,494$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.86 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FURIA | 67c | 1,485$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,388$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.21 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA | 69c | 1,376$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 59c | 1,293$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.52 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 25c | 1,250$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FURIA | 67c | 1,000$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FURIA | 66c | 942$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Astralis | 24c | 900$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Astralis | 11c | 863.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked FURIA | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Astralis | 27c | 725.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Astralis | 28c | 714.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Astralis | 39c | 685.41$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astralis | 34c | 641.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FURIA | 66c | 631.78$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA | 59c | 550$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed FURIA | 54c | 503$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Astralis | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Astralis | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Astralis | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Astralis | 40c | 370.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 67c | 355.58$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed FURIA | 66c | 349.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA | 75c | 345.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed FURIA | 66c | 333.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed FURIA | 67c | 302.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed FURIA | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Astralis | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FURIA | 69c | 290.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 67c | 282.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked FURIA | 66c | 230$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked FURIA | 67c | 212.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Astralis | 28c | 208.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Astralis | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked FURIA | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FURIA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…18e5backed Astralis | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed FURIA | 67c | 138.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 32c | 136.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…222cbacked FURIA | 66c | 134.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Astralis | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Astralis | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed FURIA | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed Astralis | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked FURIA | 66c | 90.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…1dbdbacked Astralis | 34c | 85.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…81d0backed Astralis | 26c | 77.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed FURIA | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed FURIA | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked FURIA | 67c | 69.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FURIA | 68c | 68.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Astralis | 26c | 63.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed FURIA | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed FURIA | 70c | 56.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Astralis | 34c | 39.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 69c | 38.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…3ce9backed Astralis | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed FURIA | 67c | 31.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…4038backed FURIA | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FURIA | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed FURIA | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed FURIA | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed FURIA | 67c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked FURIA | 71c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed FURIA | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed FURIA | 67c | 15.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.