CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: TYLOO vs. HEROIC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce89284aec1a383aaf66424b7558a1a6586a16381b7ce377589386b9792f576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROICof TYLOO, HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed HEROIC | 70c | 4,280$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked TYLOO | 27c | 3,050$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.04 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked HEROIC | 73c | 2,694$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.39 | 822 | 51.6%424 W · 398 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked HEROIC | 72c | 1,460$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed TYLOO | 1c | 1,446$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked TYLOO | 30c | 1,154$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked TYLOO | 28c | 1,146$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed TYLOO | 30c | 1,133$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.53 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed HEROIC | 52c | 761.82$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed TYLOO | 28c | 715$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO | 27c | 680.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed TYLOO | 30c | 666.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed HEROIC | 76c | 652.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked TYLOO | 23c | 647.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 3c | 542.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed HEROIC | 75c | 514.36$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 425 | 57.4%244 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked HEROIC | 74c | 420.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed TYLOO | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed TYLOO | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed TYLOO | 35c | 333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed TYLOO | 35c | 320$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TYLOO | 15c | 292.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 261 | 43.3%113 W · 148 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed HEROIC | 76c | 243.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked TYLOO | 28c | 239.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TYLOO | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked TYLOO | 36c | 209.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked HEROIC | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked TYLOO | 10c | 198.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked TYLOO | 19c | 163.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed HEROIC | 34c | 152.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed TYLOO | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed TYLOO | 54c | 94.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed HEROIC | 78c | 81.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…3613backed HEROIC | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed HEROIC | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TYLOO | 32c | 38.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…04e4backed HEROIC | 77c | 28.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…c98bbacked HEROIC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed TYLOO | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…333bbacked TYLOO | 49c | 24.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.