Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba15e288922a7bcae12279b5a56cf1b54d2ba1646b6a32fc80e5a6b7f2dcbc28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Svitolina, Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Swiatek | 77c | 13,050$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Svitolina | 23c | 12,052$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Svitolina | 19c | 10,176$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.78 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Svitolina | 18c | 7,789$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Swiatek | 79c | 7,524$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.9 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Swiatek | 74c | 4,531$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.42 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Svitolina | 24c | 4,313$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Svitolina | 13c | 4,166$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.18 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Svitolina | 18c | 3,149$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.85 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Svitolina | 22c | 3,012$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.59 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Svitolina | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Svitolina | 16c | 2,448$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Svitolina | 26c | 1,986$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.5 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Swiatek | 78c | 1,850$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.17 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Svitolina | 25c | 1,759$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Svitolina | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Svitolina | 22c | 1,435$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.13 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Svitolina | 23c | 1,392$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Swiatek | 78c | 1,382$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…7d85backed Svitolina | 12c | 1,310$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Swiatek | 75c | 1,256$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Swiatek | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Svitolina | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Svitolina | 24c | 999.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Svitolina | 22c | 980.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Swiatek | 79c | 939$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…91f8backed Svitolina | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Svitolina | 13c | 721.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Svitolina | 22c | 690.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Swiatek | 76c | 681$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Swiatek | 77c | 572.24$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Svitolina | 8c | 526.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Swiatek | 79c | 508.7$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Swiatek | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Swiatek | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Swiatek | 77c | 483.62$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Swiatek | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Svitolina | 14c | 370$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Swiatek | 74c | 353.27$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Swiatek | 75c | 342$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Svitolina | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Svitolina | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Swiatek | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Svitolina | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Svitolina | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed Svitolina | 5c | 293.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Swiatek | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Svitolina | 24c | 258$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Svitolina | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…5158backed Svitolina | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Swiatek | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Swiatek | 75c | 189$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Svitolina | 24c | 162.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Svitolina | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Svitolina | 12c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Svitolina | 13c | 103.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed Svitolina | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Swiatek | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Svitolina | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Swiatek | 77c | 82.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…a8fabacked Svitolina | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…3cfebacked Swiatek | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Swiatek | 79c | 63.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…f057backed Svitolina | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Swiatek | 76c | 60.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…c212backed Swiatek | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf116…ec03backed Svitolina | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Svitolina | 25c | 45.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Svitolina | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Swiatek | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2e57backed Swiatek | 79c | 24.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6c…0941backed Swiatek | 78c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Swiatek | 76c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Swiatek | 78c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.