CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. BetBoom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb08a5037ea9fe3e44cf4d1829bbfd096b3c9861dd1d9a1e9a8c6dcd9039cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, BetBoom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked BetBoom | 60c | 2,868$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.66 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked MIBR | 40c | 2,561$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked MIBR | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked BetBoom | 64c | 1,561$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed BetBoom | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.59 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MIBR | 39c | 405.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MIBR | 78c | 363$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MIBR | 33c | 303.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MIBR | 39c | 254.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed MIBR | 40c | 250.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed BetBoom | 58c | 246.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BetBoom | 65c | 222.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed MIBR | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed BetBoom | 61c | 197$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked MIBR | 36c | 192$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed BetBoom | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MIBR | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom | 61c | 88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed BetBoom | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed BetBoom | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed BetBoom | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed BetBoom | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed BetBoom | 67c | 34.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked BetBoom | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed BetBoom | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed BetBoom | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.