CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: paiN vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086c3a16b1cbe6ccdc364b2cbe039bad1e4af6fa6919046279222c861f6a9669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof paiN, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 62,411$40,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,291.39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked paiN | 36c | 20,551$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.21 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked paiN | 34c | 15,679$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.4 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed paiN | 36c | 14,837$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.15 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked paiN | 38c | 4,414$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 0c | 4,134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed paiN | 36c | 3,147$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.92 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 39c | 2,893$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.18 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed paiN | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 35c | 1,122$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 570.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 391.22$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…2e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 386.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 312.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 300.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed paiN | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 251.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 209$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed paiN | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed paiN | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed paiN | 35c | 193.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 156.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 141.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 131.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked paiN | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed paiN | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked paiN | 40c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked paiN | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked paiN | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed paiN | 34c | 51.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed paiN | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 37c | 46.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed paiN | 37c | 41.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed paiN | 36c | 40.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed paiN | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked paiN | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.