TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

CS: FURIA vs Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed Falcons67c47,873$32,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,311.9445848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA33c39,115$12,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,251.1821645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed FURIA32c22,936$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,610.225842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked FURIA31c13,986$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.4921424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA54c10,573$5,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Falcons69c9,086$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3002259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Falcons69c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Falcons69c4,837$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.34862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Falcons67c4,586$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.344639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Falcons68c4,050$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.513353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Falcons67c3,910$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.061,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Falcons43c3,783$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.81145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Falcons68c3,618$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.3126344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Falcons61c3,615$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.9316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8206…7cacbacked FURIA34c3,218$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.113721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked FURIA32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.114142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7637…de5dbacked Falcons33c3,015$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked FURIA54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38020855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed FURIA55c2,809$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.482937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Falcons55c2,768$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.9185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Falcons70c2,571$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012654.8%69 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed FURIA33c2,480$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Falcons46c2,441$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.8980740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Falcons20c2,337$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9947055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked FURIA62c2,336$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.425565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Falcons69c2,283$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.316349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Falcons67c2,090$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.315452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Falcons41c1,900$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7754942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA53c1,776$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.1364552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Falcons70c1,747$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.118956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Falcons70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Falcons70c1,412$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA39c1,381$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.3460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Falcons69c1,332$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8311847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed FURIA39c1,280$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.4321251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed FURIA32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85012131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Falcons59c1,235$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed FURIA32c1,200$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8168636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Falcons60c1,187$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.471,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Falcons67c1,160$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7774835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Falcons69c1,088$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.792544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67ec…f816backed Falcons65c1,066$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.482045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Falcons48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…335abacked FURIA30c1,033$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed Falcons48c1,031$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.673154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked FURIA42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58014239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Falcons46c991.3$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4564949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed FURIA52c961.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.8210043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked FURIA43c945.41$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Falcons46c906.52$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4179656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Falcons57c850$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.511030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Falcons68c777$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.361,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA33c757.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.575,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…fff3backed Falcons67c742.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked FURIA32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4765129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Falcons47c674.47$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3174332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Falcons71c659.04$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Falcons58c620$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.313235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f2a…4304backed Falcons67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bef…27a8backed Falcons70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Falcons69c567.17$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.354866.7%32 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked Falcons64c557.52$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.813554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed FURIA50c554.26$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2227345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccc…67fdbacked Falcons68c514.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Falcons51c510.17$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2524250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc58…f0bcbacked Falcons78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Falcons61c490.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Falcons30c461.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Falcons22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Falcons46c434.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf822…093ebacked Falcons69c434.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed FURIA37c402.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.056657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed FURIA29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2844736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Falcons58c387.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.213050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed FURIA32c385.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8613223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d6…c4adbacked Falcons68c361.88$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62fc…0b71backed Falcons68c345.84$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA62c330.46$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.861,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Falcons69c325$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Falcons57c315.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17873658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Falcons74c312.79$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5913850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed FURIA32c309$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.129215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Falcons54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626456.3%36 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed FURIA79c296.47$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3114332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Falcons69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Falcons70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked FURIA56c255.36$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.362725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed Falcons40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Falcons68c245.76$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1210947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked Falcons69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6245…67f0backed FURIA49c204.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.112650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Falcons39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed FURIA31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.492142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked FURIA55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5195…4fb1backed FURIA38c177.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.891346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Falcons68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.