CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: OG vs. Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3f410e63b125de571a442ee2d4d46970a364c086edd9f63cf83336178c980e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof OG, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Falcons | 58c | 8,600$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 39c | 5,251$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.86 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked OG | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked OG | 37c | 1,601$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Falcons | 70c | 1,480$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed OG | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed OG | 4c | 911.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed OG | 21c | 793.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed OG | 18c | 750$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked Falcons | 63c | 692.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed OG | 19c | 529.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Falcons | 62c | 444$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Falcons | 56c | 404.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed OG | 72c | 326$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked OG | 44c | 318.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed OG | 50c | 292.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked OG | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 44c | 224.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…069ebacked OG | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Falcons | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed OG | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Falcons | 36c | 191.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Falcons | 67c | 175$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed OG | 41c | 134$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Falcons | 80c | 131.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Falcons | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Falcons | 80c | 59.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked OG | 22c | 57.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Falcons | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed OG | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed OG | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed OG | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Falcons | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Falcons | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.